The Future of the Russian-Ukrainian War in Light of Russia's Amendment to its Nuclear Doctrine And their Impact on Global Security and Egyptian National Security (Available in English) (Disponible en Français)

Document Type : Refereed academic research and articles

Author

Assistant Secretary General. National Defence Council

Abstract

The article delves into the various political, economic, and strategic repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, particularly as Russia modifies its nuclear doctrine. Central to the discussion is how this war influences the global system’s structure, existing strategic balances, and future paths, amidst a complicated international backdrop and Donald Trump's U.S. presidency. The piece also examines the numerous actors, both state and non-state, along with their differing goals and motivations concerning global issues, especially the Russia-Ukraine war.
The purpose of the article is to assess the potential changes in Russian behavior following its nuclear doctrine modification. It does so by exploring historical and political contexts and scrutinizing the motivations behind these changes. Furthermore, it analyzes the impact on Russian policy, the ongoing war in Ukraine, and how these adjustments influence Russia's relationships with Western nations and the stability of the international system, thus creating a dynamic environment in global security. Notably, recent global discussions have centered on Russia’s nuclear doctrine modifications, particularly in light of war developments and Ukraine’s successful penetration of Russian territory in the Kursk region. This situation highlights the pressures and challenges Moscow faces within a complex and shifting international environment. Historically, Russia’s nuclear doctrine has been a pivotal element in its deterrence and defense capabilities. However, these modifications signify a significant shift in Russia’s approach to using its nuclear power, This is especially true, after France demanded a nuclear safety umbrella for Europe that would be self-sufficient without resorting to the United States of America.

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