The Impact of the American Military Presence in Syria on the Political and Security Situation (Available in English) (Disponible en Français)

Document Type : Refereed academic research and articles

Author

PhD in Political Science, Faculty of Economics and Political Science - Cairo University. Senior Researcher, Center for Strategic Studies - Bibliotheca Alexandrina

Abstract

The enhancement of the American military presence in Syria comes in response to rising American concerns about the current situation in Syria following the potential collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime and the security vacuum that may lead to chaos. Washington is attempting to fill the Russian void in Syria, taking advantage of the regional instability, especially amid fears of the growing activities of terrorist organizations, particularly ISIS, which is striving to exploit the current security vacuum in Syria.
Thus, the current structure of the main American military presence in Syria requires a careful reassessment to analyze the political and strategic landscape following any potential adjustments to the American military presence. This includes understanding the implications of such a presence and what the new normal will look like, inviting regional or international competitors of the United States to effectively fill this vacuum.
Despite the importance of the issue, American interests in the region do not align with the potential vacuum that would occur with an American withdrawal, especially with regional and international actors eager to fill it according to their national and regional interests, chief among them being Russia, Iran, and Turkey.
Therefore, the study aims to address the future of American withdrawal from Syria and its possibilities, as well as the future of the illegitimate American bases in Syria.

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