The Impact of Conflict on State Fragility in Sudan During the Period (2019 – 2024) (Available in English) (Disponible en Français)

This study seeks to analyze the fragile state concept, and focuses on the determinants of the fragile state, and it tries to answer the following question, what is the impact of struggle for power on the fragility of the state in Sudan? Through using the functional structural approach, and using the fragile states index, to analyze the reasons of the state’s fragility. The study will be classified into three sections, the first section will study the conceptual framework of the fragile state, and the main determinants of the fragility, the second section will focus on the conflict in Sudan, its history and parties, and its impact on the indicators of fragility in Sudan, the indicators can be classified into four categories of indicators. Firstly, the indicators of cohesion which include indicators like factionalized elite, secondly, the political indicators which include state legitimacy, the inability of the state to do its functions and human rights, thirdly the economic indicators which include the economic downturn and economic inequality, and brain drain, fourthly, the social indicators which include the demographic pressures, refugees, and external intervention. The third section of the study will focus on the results and recommendations of the study, and the future scenarios of the conflict. The study concludes that the conflict in Sudan is a struggle for power, and it led to increasing the rates of fragility in Sudan. so many efforts should be made by national, regional, and international parties, to avoid the transformation of the conflict to civil war and to avoid the division of Sudan.